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Bull Market Wall StreetRepublican Scott Brown has a real chance of pulling off an upset victory in Tuesday’s special election for the Massachusetts Senate seat formerly held by Ted Kennedy.  If Brown wins, the Democrats will loose their 60 vote super majority in the Senate required to overcome Republican filibusters.  This could be trouble for 2 of Obama’s top legislative priorities, health care and cap and trade.  The health care and cap and trade bills are bad for American businesses, and smart investors know this.  However, if Brown wins, the passage of these two job killing bills could be doomed.  This would be great for our economy and may spark a rally in the stock market.

Jim Cramer of CNBC’s Mad Money, a long time Democrat agrees.  In his own words he believes, “… investors who are nervous about the dictatorship of the Pelosi proletariat will feel at ease, and we could have a gigantic rally off a Coakley loss and a Brown win.”

Below is a partial transcript and video clip of Cramer’s show where he commented on the Massachusetts Senate race.  The best line of the clip has got to be, “Pelosi politburo emasculation!”
JIM CRAMER, MAD MONEY HOST: We know it’s earnings season. You can no more avoid it than you could avoid getting your report card or worse – your parents getting your report card. You saw that today when people sold the market on allegedly weak earnings from Intel and JP Morgan, emphasis on allegedly. The Dow getting hurt bad, down a hundred big ones. S&P giving back more than a percent. But that doesn’t mean that the most important factor in next week’s game plan is an earnings report. Far from it. Come with me. The number you need to watch is the number that Scott Brown racks up against Martha Coakley in this amazing Massachusetts Senate race. I say amazing ’cause this was supposed to be a walkover. I mean, even a few weeks ago it was a lock for Democrat Coakley. But now everything’s up in the air, and a Brown win would be devastating for the president’s agenda. Let’s put Brown, okay, and I don’t mean UPS which I happen to own for my charitable trust. Particularly on healthcare reform, because Republican Brown has said he will definitely vote against the plan.

Brown in the Senate? That wrecks the 60-vote supermajority the Democrats have been counting on. It could spell the end for this almost year-long nightmare of a piece of healthcare legislation.

What does a Brown election mean larger than this? Well, first you’re going to get a knee-jerk rally in all the so-called penalized stocks — the HMOs, the drugs, the medical device-makers. I call it “knee-jerk,” though, because these stocks have been on fire for months. Look at Cramer fave WellPoint, or United Health. 52 week high. 52 week high. Merck, 52 week high. It’s been clear as a bell that the healthcare reform wasn’t going to affect most healthcare stocks. That’s versus what we thought last year.

More important, though, I think investors who are nervous about the dictatorship of the Pelosi proletariat will feel at ease, and we could have a gigantic rally off a Coakley loss and a Brown win. It will be a signal that a more pro-business, less pro-labor government could be in front of us. Hey, would you say it is more China like perhaps? No, we can never be as capitalist as the Communist Chinese. But how about a little bit less like the old Soviet Union? Yeah, that would be a bit more like it. Pelosi politburo emasculation! Everything from the banks, which are usually in the Democrats’ penalty box, or the oils which are despised by this administration for being carbon, could be propelled dramatically higher all of this Tuesday night.

The video is a 12 minute long segment but only the first 3 minutes are relevant to this post.

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3 Responses to Will a Brown Victory in Massachusetts Spark a Stock Market Rally?

  1. Matt says:

    That’s an excellent point. I also think that a lot of small businesses will breath a sigh of relief, as they can be relatively assured that if they start hiring, they won’t be crippled by ObamaCare of Cap and Slave.

    An interesting side effect of this will be that Obama will take credit for any rally that occurs.

  2. John Carey says:

    I think a win by Brown could inject a bit of predictability into to our free market system which is a good thing. So I can buy what you’re saying about a Brown win causing a rally on Wall Street. We shall see.

  3. Harrison says:

    Obamakare won’t pass, but some taxes will and that’s what businesses fear most. One man can’t do much in the face of that.

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